AD-73 Update: The Sad Shrinking World of Bill Brough – His Latest Fundraiser Tells Us All We Need to Know (Bonus AD-74 Update too)

 2020 Elections, AD73 Race, AD74 Race, Bill Brough  No Responses »
Nov 252019
 

Bill is now using Anne Dunsmore after Stacy Davis discontinued her services for him three months ago. Dunsmore is also involved in the flailing Kelly Empty effort in AD74 as well. It is my understanding that Dunsmore comes at a high price that we believe Bill Brough is going to be hard pressed to pay. Dunsmore is alleged to be charging a second tier congressional candidate an $8,000 a month retainer. What would she charge an incumbent with major league issues? At last 5K per month, you’d think. Then there is 15% of the take on top of that.

If Dunsmore is worth the freight, she should start calling the Lincoln Club on Bill’s behalf. That ought to be an experience for her no doubt. She will find out soon enough why Bill Brough lost the services of Stacy Davis – who is widely regarded and respected. (Hint: Bill Drinks, … a lot)

Note that the host committee is down to two people and there is no charge to go to the event. One of the two people, Enzo owns the now famous Brio Tuscanny Grille. I’ve never been there for food, but I have read their name 40+ times in the course of studying William “Bill” Brough’s reports. Note that there are no electeds, or stakeholders on the committee. It consists of just two local business-owners. I do salute those two men for honoring their friendship with Bill Brough. I’d suggest they should probably throw water and Gatorade down Bill’s face for two days and then talk to him about his drinking. But, that’s just my opinion as every time I am told about Bill these days, he’s drinking or scowling.

I will be curious to check end of year reports to see what Anne Dunsmore has done to or for both Ernby and William Bill Brough.

I am also of the opinion that Ernby is going to be forced to deal with reality. This is the reality that despite having a few backers, she is simply unable to close the deal much of anywhere. It is also so common with also ran candidates, as she reacted poorly to people attempting to give her a second chance to run for Judge, etc.

It is really going to suck to be Bill Brough over the next month or so. I mean, he filed for re-election to show us all whose boss. Now Bill is going to meet his daddy, his drill instructor and his rehab therapist (or wish to God he had of). Bill Brough may well be the uniter of the OCGOP in a way he never imagined.

Kelly Ernby? She pretty much cooked herself with her hubris. Yikes. Hopefully she stays in a Holiday Inn Express somewhere so she has an excuse for her behavior.

AD-74 Update: Kelly Ernby Melts Down in an Email to OCGOP. #KELLYEMPTY #ANGRYERNBY

 2020 Elections, AD74 Race, Kelly Ernby  No Responses »
Nov 112019
 

I am not sure who is advising Kelly Ernby, but I feel for them. It appears that Kelly Ernby’s ego is gigantic and uncontrollable.

The AD74 race has kind of taken a back seat to AD73 as AD73 will likely be decided in the primary unless the extremely damaged and contemptible William “Bill” Brough makes it through to the runoff. In AD74 the issue is having a strong challenger to Cottie-Petrie-Petrie-Norris. The dem leadership have recently set up Mizz Petrie Dish with a couple of feel-good bills so she could mug for the Camera. (I noted Bill Brough in some of the photos looking hung over as well)

What I was told by several insiders in Orange County was that some stakeholders in Orange County arranged a meeting with Kelly Ernby. Mrs. Ernby has missed the memo that she is polling around the same region as a sugar pill would poll. Mrs. Ernby by all accounts has raised less than $100k and her rate of bleed with Anne Dunsmore and Duane Dichara on the payroll means she will run out of money shortly. It is the combination of these factors that motivated said stakeholders to call on Mrs. Ernby.

The meeting did not go well as Mrs. Ernby demonstrated a lack of maturity and hubiris that no one seemed to have detected. (They should have asked your intrepid blogger, I’d have told them)

Kelly decided to respond by detonating herself in an email to the Orange County Republican Party. Mrs. Ernby knows that Diane Dixon is very close to the 2/3 threshold and she likely thought that unloading a tirade may provide that little something extra… to motivate undecided or the refusnik (never endorse for any reason anytime) members of the OCGOP in to the Dixon Column. I just could not see Duane Dichara or Anne Dunsmore signing off on the email I am about to post.

From: Kelly Ernby <DELETED>
Date: Fri, Nov 8, 2019, 5:43 PM
Subject: Can we stop the dirty politics and let the voters decide?

Dear Members and Alternates,

In our last central committee meeting in October, Diane Dixon and I both agreed to withdraw our names for endorsement for the 74th Assembly District seat.  In the words of Diane Dixon herself, it was “for the sake of the party.”  Since that time, I would like to bring to your attention to two significant events.

First, Diane Dixon has apparently changed her mind and is now seeking the endorsement at the next central committee meeting.  I was told this was calendared by Chairman Whitaker without any notice or consultation with me.  At a minimum, I would ask you to reject this item purely on the way it was presented, particularly after a deal had been struck.  It would be manifestly wrong for Diane Dixon to slip in this endorsement request without an invitation being extended to me to do the same, especially in light of our previous agreement.

The second item is more disturbing.  And I bring it to your attention because it directly affects whether this party should be endorsing in this partisan contested primary in the first place.  Some members of our Party have asked me to leave the race to reduce the costs of the primary.  They tell me I should have started my political career by running for a different office.  There is nothing wrong with these comments.  However, lately, this same “advice” has come from Diane Dixon’s campaign with a much different tone.  Specifically, earlier this week, Teresa Hernandez, who many of you know, suggested I leave the race for Assembly and run for a different office—either Huntington Beach City Council or Superior Court Judge. Mrs. Hernandez identified herself as one of the people who recruited Mrs. Dixon to run and she is now one of Dixon’s strongest advisors and advocate.  She told me that if I did not drop out of the race, Mrs. Dixon was prepared to spend $400,000 in the primary campaign for Assembly to “bloody me up” and smear my good name.  As a result of the negative campaign I should expect from Mrs. Dixon, I was told, my reputation would be so tarnished that I would never be able to run for public office again.  Further, if I refused to drop out, Mrs. Hernandez advised that Lincoln Club and Party members would be told of my lack of compliance with her demand, implying that my lack of cooperation would be seen in a negative light.  Similar calls, with similar language of threats to me have been made specifically by Mrs. Dixon’s campaign staff to others connected to my campaign.

Mrs. Hernandez offered me an alternative to the grim picture she painted were I to remain in the race.  Should I accept her invitation to drop out of the Assembly race, she offered considerable help in my suggested campaign for judge or city council.  She told me that Diane Dixon only planned to remain in the state assembly seat we are both seeking—District 74—for 2 to 4 years, and that Diane would offer the Assembly seat to me when she steps down.  Mrs. Hernandez offered me endorsements and help fundraising for these alternative public offices if I complied with her demands.  I did not.

I have written this letter to get all of this into the open. Our mutual goal is to defeat Cottie Norris in November, and I believe transparency among Republicans is essential towards that end.

I am committed to staying in this race and no amount of money or promise of money or endorsements will make me change my position.  I would also like to add that I have sought counsel with my supporters, in Huntington Beach and throughout the district, about this situation, and received feedback ranging from disbelief in these tactics to strong re-confirmation of support for my campaign.

In closing, I reiterate my support for the Republican nominee whomever it shall be – in accordance with the agreement made at the last central committee meeting.  Further, I respectfully request that you reject the invitation to revisit the early endorsement decision in this race.  Rather, in the great tradition of this Party, let the primary voters decide who the 74th Assembly District Republican nominee should be.

May the best candidate win.

On to victory for the GOP,

Kelly Ernby
—

Kelly Ernby |

Candidate for CA Assembly District 74

The truth about what happened is somewhere in between what Kelly Ernby’s tirade indicates and what I was told in confidence. But, let me state the obvious:

#1 As a candidate, attacking a stakeholder and donor by name is not a wise strategy. Should Mrs. Ernby somehow get beyond 4% she will need these people she attacked. That ain’t happening.

#2 Should Ernby lose, she is toast for at least 10 years, maybe more due to the way she has conducted herself. People do not forget fits of narcissistic rage.

#3 Ernby is advocating “No Endorsement”, this is an admission that her support among Republican stakeholders is weak. A smart candidate regardless of strength or weakness would ask the Party to endorse her.

#4 Ernby attacked the largest (or second largest depending on who you ask) donor group in Orange County by name. This is felony stupid.

#5 It is my understanding there was never a deal related to the AD74 Endorsement at the Central Committee Level. It is my understanding that the dynamic at the meeting was such that Diane Dixon chose to postpone her request as she was not sure she had 2/3 or may have been short a vote or two. Ernby is re-writing history or at worst is telling an outright lie.

It is likely that Mrs. Hernandez was sent to speak to Ernby on behalf of several people and asked Ernby to consider running for Judge with a promise of significant financial support in the form of her and her friends in the Lincoln Club. Hernandez likely pointed out that staying in the Assembly Race meant that Ernby would experience more pain than just the Right On Daily Blog (ahem- beyond what a bottle of wine can soothe).

Kelly Enrby, incensed that Hernandez would dare not kiss her ring conflated an attempt to negotiate as some sort of attempt at a felony (bribery) and a threat.

Once done with the meeting it is likely that Ernby thought about how she could use said meeting to teach everyone who is boss, thus the above email (embellishments and all).

What we now know is that Kelly Ernby has the pre-requisite hubris required to be a partisan officeholder. Almost coincidentally, Ernby’s entire grassroots army descended on my facebook page, (all 3 of them) leaving comments about what an evyl person Diane Dixon is. One of Ernby’s trolls lost a Costa Mesa city council race by the same 30+ points Ernby is down in this one. (That could explain the affinity)

Ernby and Brough likely have the same therapist in my opinion.

Updates Galore! Kelly Empty Uses Alinsky Playbook, San Clemente Farmers Market Brawl, Bill Brough’s Pain and Other Fun Stuff!

 2020 Elections, AD73 Race, AD74 Race, San Clemente  3 Responses »
Oct 222019
 

Did you know that Katie Hill’s CA-25 Scandal has gone national? Here is the Washington Post trying to help her out. She denied having an affair in that national “media publication”, just as Red State Blogger Jennifer Van Laar unloaded part 2 and 3 of her expose’ with TEXT MESSAGES proving the whole saga! Will ethics charges be next for the budding communist hero whose campaign got national media attention? (The attention was based 100% on her being a switch-hitter)

Deanna Lorraine Tesoriero from CA-12 running against Pelosi continues to make a fool of herself. On the heels of having 10 people (that’s it, 10) for a copycat event in San Francisco here she is on video explaining the failure of her campaign. This stuff writes itself. we’ve also posted video of her partying like a rock star in Florida, too.

I’ve spent a lot of time on Orange County politics lately, here are a few updates that have come across the transom:

Some people have been going through William “Bill” Brough withdrawals. Billy Boy has some problems. #1 the people that are sending official OCGOP mail for Gene James forgot to mention Bill Brough as a major supporter. (No mention of Bill Brough anywhere, period) #2 Your intrepid blogger has been told that Bill Brough has been cut off in Sacramento by legislative leadership. #3 Your intrepid blogger got recent information that the investigation in to Billy Boy’s philandering and Campaign Finances are white hot with several people being called. When calls are made people talk.

Your intrepid blogger also got some public records related to Bill Brough and I spent most of the afternoon laughing uncontrollably. #RENTFREE

Bill Brough’s world is about to shrink some more. Might I suggest the following for a campaign theme song: Brough for Assembly. If Brough is fortunate, 4% Kelly might sing backup on the song for him.

Speaking of 4% Kelly – her supporters on the OCGOP were left to push the worn-out 90’s era consultant strategy of “No Endorsement”. This is the feckless cowardly stance that the “Republican Party should not pick winners and losers”. This is code for we don’t like what is coming. In order to make sure there was chaos, Kelly Ernby put the wine bottle down and had about a dozen Anti-Vaxxers present at the meeting to bully some of the more cowardly members of the OCGOP.

Ernby has even greater problems – the people that suffice for GOP Leadership in California have endorsed Diane Dixon. Kelly Empty is reputed to have very little to work with financially, given that Anne Dunsmore and Duane Dichara are both on the payroll for significant sums, she will be broke soon.

Remember the OCGOP’s recent endorsement that was a limp-wristed slap to Bill Brough despite the incontrovertible evidence of his malfeasance? Given that weakness, I can imagine how Ernby and crew would be emboldened to attempt bully tactics.

OCGOP Leadership failures and cowardice seem to be the order of battle – except when it came to Gene James. OCGOP Chair Feckless Fred Whitaker is reputed to have helped push the endorsement of Gene James through the OCGOP. One of the few times Fred Whitaker has shown real resolve is in the face of 11 Tax Liens, 4 Civil Judgement, multiple abuse complaints, a foreclosure, wage garnishments, poor credit and video evidence of vigilante behavior  – Fred Whitaker stood by his man. Would Fred need to see what 15 tax liens before he reconsiders an endorsement? Another judgement or two? A homeless dude in the hospital? What about the OCGOP itself?

Apparently, the aforementioned Bully Gene James and Crew went 15 rounds with the Commie Pinko 20 Year Old Jackson Hinkle at the San Clemente Farmer’s Market. (I guess Ernby will provide the under-card in November when the OCGOP decides between cowardice and taking a stand in AD74)

Mickey McLane will get his 500 votes, but his account of circumstances is what it is. I have feelers out to obtain a copy of the police report. I am hoping it is as definitive as the issues of Gene James bullying and attacking the homeless people.

Bottoms Up Guys! This is Orange County Politics! (Look for another piece of mail to come from the OCGOP extolling the virtues of Gene James)

 

AD-74 Update: Kelly Empty Ernby Gives us Clues as to her real Values in 2015 #EMPTYERNBY

 2020 Elections, AD74 Race  No Responses »
Oct 082019
 

Got it? Screw whatever, Smoke Whatever – it’s all good with Kelly Ernby. (Unless you are a business, then she will sue you)

Given that Ernby is on Marriage #3, I could certainly understand the libertine attitude toward who and what you have sex with. However, the attitude towards using narcotics? It could be because her main practice as a government attorney is suing businesses versus prosecuting crime? (Research shows very few prosecutions despite misleading claims on her social media)

Did former OC DA Tony Rackauckas have a clue who he recruited for AD-74??? (Maybe T-Rak is in to suing people too…)

We deserve better in the GOP than empty candidates that make a living suing businesses in to oblivion who have unclear values and an unclear platform.

As of the writing of this blog, her campaign is running on empty. (But, her Consultants are getting fat retainers) I am seriously wondering why she is running for AD74.

It’s all ringing squishy empty.

(AD-74 = Assembly District 74, Currently infested by Cottie Petrie-Norris-NoMas)

There is a second interesting Sidebar, Vincent Fong has endorsed Kelly Ernby and Shannon Grove has endorsed Diane Dixon. Fong and Grove are both from the “Kevin McCarthy Machine” in Kern County. Right now, Grove is the Senate Permanent Minority leader and Vincent Fong missed being Permanent Minority Leader in the Assembly by a slim margin (possibly Bill Brough’s vote). There is a school of thought that Kevin McCarthy may get run out on a rail if the GOP does not re-take the house – this would be an obvious nexus for a Fong vs Grove proxy war as a congressional seat is about as far as a Republican can go in California.

That said, it appears Vincent Fong has not delivered a dime for Ernby. We shall see as Ernby looks like an #EMPTYERNBY spoiler at this time.

AD74 Update – Empty Ernby Fundraiser Flops While Diane Dixon Has a Packed House. #EMPTYERNBY #4%KELLY

 2020 Elections, AD74 Race, Diane Dixon, Kelly Ernby  1 Response »
Oct 022019
 

Kelly Ernby had a fundraiser last week. Note how lonely Tyler Diep is in the room. Count ’em folks – 12 people. Most of them look like Lawyers. It also looks like this event was shoved in to a broom closet or something too.

Now – let’s contrast this to Diane Dixon:

Diane (in the Red) is pictured with former Governor Pete Wilson Marie Waldron and Shannon Grove – there is an interesting aside. Dixon and very close to Laurie Davies who is running against the troubled Bill Brough in AD73. She has publicly endorsed Davies – yet here she is with Former Governor Pete Wilson, and the two GOP Minority Leaders who have yet to do anything related to the Brough situation. This proves that each race is a separate issue.

Secondly and more importantly – look at the room. I was told there were over 100 people that appeared during the course of the evening. I can see about 30 in this photo.

Regardless of my feelings towards Pete Wilson, his is an endorsement that plays well in Southern California. (It does not in my area) This is significant considering that Ernby has a few decent endorsements of her own that have amounted to next to no momentum or resources.

So I ask again, why is Kelly Ernby running for AD74? She is polling at 4%, unlike Dixon who has significant name ID.

Also, based on the flow of communication, it looks like Kelly has had some campaign staff turnover. This is yet another sign that things are not going well for Empty Ernby.

P.S. – leave a comment, let me know if you like #EMPTYERNBY or #4%KELLY better.

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