I do know that a lot of Pass-Through contributions have flowed legally through the CAGOP’s accounts (they have like 13 of them) into support for these candidates as well. The CAGOP has gone through something like $6.5 Million so far.
However, the actual fundraising of the candidates themselves is also an indicator of the health and strength of the party. The numbers are terrible.
Here is a snapshot:
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT
65 Cynthia Thacker Sharon Quirk-Silva ZERO 334,989 Recently was an R seat
66 Arthur C. Schaper Al Muratsuchi 3,361 193,515 Recently was an R seat
67 Dennis Kelly Seyarto Jerry Carlos 157,162 2,000 This is an open Safe R Seat
68 Steven “Steve” Choi Melissa Fox 474,865 1,225,003 Choi is extremely vulnerable
69 Jon Paul White Tom Daly ZERO 311,245
70 David W. Thomas Patrick O’Donnell ZERO 304,039
71 Randy Voepel Liz “Elizabeth” Lavertu 74,630 25,259 – a Safe R Seat Republican with only $75K in his account. Completely useless to the caucus.
72 Janet Nguyen Diedre Nguyen 721,451 775,298 AD72 is an Open R Seat but could fall dem
73 Laurie Davies Scott Rhinehart 165,452 76,352 AD73 is considered Safe R and is open after the defeat of the disturbed Bill Brough
74 Diane Dixon Cottie Petrie-Norris 497,170 1,297,270 AD74 was considered the top Target for an R Pickup
75 Marie Waldron Karen “Kate” Schwartz 324,854 30,268 AD75 is the home district of the Permanent Minority Leader Marie Waldron who has only $324K.
76 Melanie Burkholder Tasha Boerner Horvath 109,684 1,059,620 Recently was an R Seat
77 June Yang Cutter Brian Maienschein 303,168 850,802 Recently was an R Seat
You can see the entire Republican VS Democrat report here. Take a look at the trump-hater Jordan Cunningham (AD35) and Philip Chen (AD55) they are both in trouble but faring better than their Orange County Counterparts.
ON the Senate Side take a look: If the district is skipped, it is because it is one of the 6(!) districts with no Republican in the runoff. (out of only 20 State Senate Districts on the Ballot)
Republican Democrat
1 * Brian Dahle Pamela Swartz 176,554 72,247 SD01 is Safe R (one of the few truly safe R seats)
3 Carlos Santamaria Bill Dodd 3,627 373,952 SD03 is Safe D
5 Jim Ridenour Susan Eggman 29,002 1,495,454 SD05 is a leadership disaster I have written about extensively. Ridenour was abandoned because he was not the chosen one
7 Julie Mobley Steve Glazer 13,430 447,537 SD07 is Safe D
13 Alexander Glew Josh Becker 15,586 639,743 SD13 is Safe D
17 Vicki Nohrden John Laird 93,755 402,847 SD17 is Safe D
19 Gary Michaels S. Monique Limon ZERO 572,744 SD19 is Safe D
21 Scott Wilk Kipp Mueller 711,723 819,916 SD21 is Wilk the Republican facing a stiff challenge from a lefty moonbat
23 Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh / Abigail Medina 593,943 569,545 SD23 is an open R seat with Mike Morrell on his way out. Ochoa-Bogh has benefitted from $3MM+ of establishment support
25 Kathleen Hazelton / Anthony Portantino ZERO 473,666 SD25 is Safe D – note that CAGOP Leadership attempted to lynch Kathleen Hazleton even though she has yet to file a report
27 Houman Salem Henry Stern ZERO 209,629 SD27 is Safe D
29 Ling Ling Chang Josh Newman 649,173 1,712,861 SD29 is where Josh Newman was Recalled for Raising Taxes and the democrats look like they will avenge his recall
31 Rod Taylor Richard Roth ZERO 265,014 SD31 was once considered to be competitive. Now the Republican has not even filed a report
37 John Moorlach Dave Min 850,788 1,263,561 SD37 has a slight R lean, but Moorlach no longer has the positive name ID he once enjoyed. I believe he is in trouble.
39 Linda Blankenship Toni Atkins 30,185 90,917 Note that Toni Atkins has nothing to fear so she is raising money to take out Wilk, Bogh, Ling Ling Ling and Moorlach
In the backdrop of the State Senate issues is the termination of Senate Strategist (at $152K a year) Matt Klemin. Interesting how he had arranged for his contract to renew right in the middle of the fall election cycle. One of the few leadership decisions I agree with by Shannon Grove is terminating Klemin. Unfortunately, Klemin’s fingerprints and lasting legacy will be at least two more lost California State Senate Seats to go along with the 3 lost in 2018 (and the 2 lost before that, etc). In 8 years with Klemin at the helm, the Senate GOP will go from 15 to 8 (maybe 7). Yay team.
When you take a look at the lists – you will see another part of the basis as to why I believe the State GOP will lose 4-6 more seats in the legislature (ironically while the Congressional delegation will reclaim 1-3 of the lost seats from 2018).
As I type this – Jessica Patterson and crew are trying to triage her situation with a very well choreographed series of moves. (Some we have detailed such as lynching nominees, trying to corral other nominees, trying to smash county parties, picking primary winners and the like). Your intrepid blogger is staying abreast of the developments as it is all about Kevin Faulconer’s governor campaign in 2022, party be dammed. Faulconer needs Jessica Patterson still in place as a key part of his plan to get through the primary. What is the latest? Coming soon.
P.S. I am not accounting for outside money pouring in to races, that is stuff that the party usually has no control over. Often times, incumbents are supported by these efforts.