Jul 312019

Bob Elliott is 70. He will be 72 within weeks of taking office. Even with the advances of modern medicine and increasing longevity (until Obama took office that is), 70 is still 70.

CA-10 is a Targeted Seat that is Dem +3.6% in Registration with a whopping 24.6% Independent Vote. This will never be an easy seat for anyone that lives in it. This means that the incumbent congressman will be under pressure to be back in his district as often as possible. Can a 72 year old man endure the physical drain of flying 3300 miles and three time zones twice a week for months on end? I’m 48 and I shudder to think about that in my own circumstance.

Elliott also has limited resources in his campaign account – most are rollovers from his Supervisor or State Senate Account. Will Elliott be able to raise any more money or support or has he peaked?

Bob Elliott’s primary resume is his service as a San Joaquin County Supervisor. CA-10 lists only 25% of its’ voter universe in San Joaquin County.

Mr. Elliott also has a problem with the demographics of CA-10, CA-10 is 42% Latino. While Latinos are not guaranteed to discriminate against White Candidates, (see also Andy Vidak) consider that a disproportionate amount of Latinos are under 40 (heck, under 30). It has been my observation that people will vote for their father, but not their Grandfather making it a net negative for Mr. Elliott.

Even the lilly white AD-73 has a similar problem with 71 Year old Ed Sachs vetting a run against the embattled and scandal-marred Bill Brough. Unless Sachs has $1,000,000 to spend (and Ana Bryson did when she lost to Brough in the original tilt) or Bob Elliott has $1MM to make up for the glaring presentation weakness, it is a problem.

Elliott’s Facebook Page has 199 likes and he has yet to set up a website, thus suggesting that he may also not be tech savvy.

Ted Howze is 51. Thus, his age is less of an issue. Howze has also been a veterinarian in the district for many years which will give him connection to the voters in Stanislaus County (75% of the electorate).

Howze has 4+ times the resources as Mr. Elliott. It has been put to me that Mr. Howze has the ability to spend nearly limitless resources on his campaign. This will neutralize one of Josh Harder’s key strengths as Harder is almost 100% funded by PAC’s and Special Interests despite his pledge not to be beholden to them.

The third Republican candidate Marla Livengood, a lobbyist, somehow has less than $30,000 in her campaign. I am seriously not sure why she is still running for congress.

The tale of the tape in CA-10 is as follows:

Josh Harder democrat incumbent, age 35 puppet of Nancy Pelosi, Jarrod Nadler, Elijah Cummings – #1 Fundraiser of the vulnerable democrats.

CA-10: 42% Latino, Registration: 36.7% Dem, 33.1% Rep and a whopping 24.6% DTS.

Bob Elliott, has about $140K in the Bank, Age 70.

Ted Howze, has $675K in the Bank, Age 51.

Marla Livengood, has $30K in the Bank. Age 39.

This is one of the cases where the most conservative candidate (Howze) may well be the most viable candidate in the race. I think by any objective measure as a Republican that Ted Howze is the choice.

Jul 292019
As of today, despite the mounting list of issues with Bill Brough, the Orange County Republican Party leadership has done nothing other than a milquetoast comment and a bunch of no comments. Could there be a connection between this refusal to lead and the thousands of dollars Mr. Brough has donated to the OCGOP? It is a fair question.

On Monday 6-17-2019, Lisa Bartlett, a Supervisor told her spellbinding story to an audience that sat in stunned silence about Bill Brough’s Harassment and unwanted advances toward her.

Rather, OC Supervisor Lisa Bartlett spoke out forcefully against endorsing Bill Brough to a stunned audience. She detailed in graphic terms the incident of Sexual Assault/Harassment that she personally endured at the hands of Mr. Brough.

It is clear to this blogger that Brough has had enablers covering for him for years. It is also clear that Brough has had a litany of issues related to intoxication and his out of control behavior that occurs once intoxicated. Sans proof (aka the victims talking to me, or documented evidence of criminal/civil proceedings) I’ve stayed quiet.

The OC GOP sat in stunned silence as Lisa Bartlett opened up publicly for the first time about the alleged incident that was widely known but never confirmed by Mrs. Bartlett. The stunned committee voted Unanimously (save one holdout) to refer Brough’s endorsement to the endorsement committee for a “Closed Door Investigation”.

This story was broken on the Right on Daily Blog 40 hours later despite attempts by the OCGOP Leadership to “Keep it in the Family”.

Against Assemblymember Bill Brough, at least two more alleged victims have come forward to your intrepid blogger regarding their stories. This brings us to a total of three women that your intrepid blogger is aware of. (as of 6-20-2019) I have yet to meet the person that filed the claim with the assembly rule committee that appears to have been stuffed. Right On Daily wrote about a female victim that was later quoted in the Los Angeles Times.

That story was written here on 6-20-2019 several days before the LA Times.

In May of 2018, Bill Brough lied to my face, denying the existence of an Assembly Rules Committee Complaint when I asked him about itHe also appears to have lied to several other political leaders in the area in denying the existence of an Assembly Rules Committee Complaint – even as the feckless Fred Whitaker is trying to figure out how to maintain the incumbent protection plan.

On 6-21-2019 The Orange County Register weighed in, quoting Right on Daily as a source. They also got bill Brough to confirm the existence of at least one complaint to the Assembly Rules Committee by a female victim. (We now know there were at least 2 more).

6-24-2019: The Sacramento Bee and the Voice of OC joined the chorus.

Then on 6-26-2019, Right On Daily began an investigation of Bill Brough’s campaign finance records. We learned that his portable bar (called a Burbon Barrel) appears to have been paid for with campaign funds.

We also learned that the embedded picture corresponds to a family trip paid for by the campaign account to a RedSox game.

Once the shock wore off regarding such blatant abuses of his donors, we dug further.

We highlighted a sampling of what appears to be a string of luxury dining engagements paid for at donor expense:

$1800 to the Capitol Grille.

$1200 to Mastro’s Steakhouse.

Both events claim 3-4 attendees.

$2360.80 to El Niguel Country Club for what turns out to be a retirement party for a former Chief of Staff that used to live with Brough in his Sacramento apartment. (That is affectionately referred to as Brough’s Rager Pad)

Is Bill Brough covering up other personal expenses in these blatantly large payments?

Then we detailed $13,400 in payments to Verizon Wireless, suggesting that Bill Brough has straight out been paying his families’ phone bill with his campaign funds.

In addition to the previous revelation about the “Burbon Barrel” we learned that Brough may well have purchased a Cigar Humidor and hundreds of dollars worth of cigars with campaign funds as well.

We could very well have a second Duncan Hunter type scandal in the ranks of the GOP legislators in Southern California.

Meantime, our investigation shows Brough has written several checks to the Orange County Republican Party. We Challenged the leadership of the OC GOP over why they are refusing to protect women, including volunteers and political staffers (let alone Lisa Bartlett who is a Supervisor), preferring instead to say No Comment. The LA Times story detailing several sordid stories was replete with cowards in local government in Orange County that refused comment as well. Cowardice enables evil, this has been a pattern throughout history.

We now know that Brough may have dozens of campaign finance violations. Some may well be crimes as well.

We have two women on the record with their incidents of harassment, which include physical confrontation.

We have three more women (one of whom talked to your intrepid blogger several days before the LA Times) who are known to have filed complaints regarding Brough’s actions.

The incidents are at different times in different places and have corroboration.

Yet, Fred Whitaker and the OCGOP Leadership are enabling Bill Brough by doing nothing… Is Fred Whitaker just a coward or has his silence been bought? The Rank and File OCGOP Member should call for and vote for Fred Whitaker’s removal along with that of Bill Brough.

… to be continued.

Jul 272019

Get to know David Stafford Reade he is the man behind the curtain. Based on 6 leaks of information from 6 sources inside the leadership of the CAGOP we can give you some updates.

The California Republican Party has $1,000,000 in its’ State Account. Before Celebrating too much, about half of that is new money. The Democrats have about $12 Million. One of the top issues used against Travis Allen and Steve Frank was fundraising, it appears that Jessica is doing about as good as Travis Allen would have done. To her credit, she has had dozens of meetings – at least 15 of which I have been briefed on in detail.

The CAGOP has only 98K in net cash in its’ Federal Account. The CADEMS have a ton and more coming in daily. The Fall Convention will be used (completely legally and ethically by the way) as a vehicle to boost the terrible Federal number. Remember, the CAGOP needs about 1 federal dollar per 2-3 state dollars spent with which to operate.

Grade: C- with room for improvement – Jessica Patterson has raised money. (She has had a lot of help doing so, but the only metric to judge by are the results) The people helping Jessica were also committed to making sure Steve Frank or Travis Allen failed should one of them have upset Jessica for Chair of the CAGOP. They may yet fail even though they imposed their will on the Feb 2019 elections of CAGOP officers. (I was told by three people “Leadership” was texting people to elect Peter Kuo over Corrin Rankin on the convention floor)

Platform Drafting Committee: It is clear that David Stafford Reade was in total control of the process. He attempted to choke off the flow of information, but your intrepid blogger knew about three weeks ago that the outcome was being orchestrated and how it was being orchestrated. David Reade is phenomenal at creating proxies, fake groups or controlled groups within micro-universes in order to produce an outcome. I’ve seen him control county parties, volunteer groups and the like for years. He applied this skill to near perfection in the platform drill.

It is clear that Reade (who is Jessica Patterson’s political and campaign manager) directed Patterson to steer clear of taking a public position on the outcome of the platform as the would-be platform destroyers clearly outnumbered the conservatives on the committee. At the end of the day, fealty to their paychecks kept the platform committee from making anything other than minor changes to the CAGOP Platform. (See also consultants and staffers – a subset of the oligarchy of controlled failure)

I Give David Stafford Reade a Grade of A on the Platform Drill – from a pure operative / paid political hack paradigm, he did exactly what he needed to do. He controlled an outcome, kept his client out of the line of fire and helped prevent an all-out war at the coming convention. While I know David Reade to be a Conservative at his core, I am not so naive to believe his intervention in keeping people like Deborah Wilder from pulling the Pro-Life and Pro-Family planks from the platform was rooted in anything other than the political calculation of keeping the peace. He still gets credit for doing the right thing ideologically even if for political, not moral reasons.

I give Jessica Patterson an D on the Platform Drill. She failed to take a public stand. We deserve leadership and similar to her avoiding the AD-73 and CA-50 Issues, she missed the boat on the platform drill. She gets a D instead of an F because she hired David Stafford Reade who made sure a war was avoided over the disposition of the platform.

Jessica Patterson announced her committee appointments. I will post the list at a time that suits me if challenged, and may yet do a full expose’ on the lists. 90% of the people on the lists are not conservative activists. A Conservative Activist is defined by your intrepid blogger as an ideological conservative whose opinions and stances on things CAGOP are not controlled or influenced by a paycheck. Over half the committee members are outright moderate-liberal GOP-ers and an additional 35ish % are staffers/consultants. An additional 10% are people I know to be conservative but are under the sway or influence of the oligarchy of controlled failure.

One of the sharpest criticisms I leveled at Mrs. Patterson pre-CAGOP Chair election was that she’d hand over total control of the CAGOP to the shrinking coven of consultants and electeds. She has done just that, and it appears when these people controlled who the delegates to the party were this was the expected outcome. Travis Allen was right, Steve Frank was right, period.

It has been made clear to me repeatedly that David Stafford Reade was involved heavily in the outcome of the committee assignments. This is consistent with a paradigm of control and use only your own people. This is a classic 1990’s era consultant move. It also ensures more of the same outcomes as new blood is shunned in favor of familiar names and faces.

David Stafford Reade: Grade A – from the pure Consultant’s Paradigm, again he did his job and the bidding of those paying him. For that he deserves credit.

Jessica Patterson: Grade F – The composition of the committees is homogeneously dominated by moderates/consultants. This is not healthy for any organization at all, but this is what “leadership” wanted because they are incapable of pivoting off of failure. Patterson is a by-product of them. It is what it is.

The results of the last two days of the CAGOP’s meetings is the definition of the Oligarchy of Controlled Failure. You can expect more of the same in 2020. I wish I was having to walk back more than my previous criticism of the fundraising, and was making more positive comments about the direction and leadership – but I can’t at this time.

I can’t even celebrate that the 2019 Platform is going to be a good platform. It really means nothing as those in charge appear to have doubled down on failure.

Your intrepid blogger will continue getting leaks and will continue filtering them to protect the brave people talking to me despite fears of retaliation. The goal here is to keep the Travis Allen and Steve Frank supporters informed as we get attacked in the media by people like Mike Murphy and Mike Madrid and then shunned by David Reade and Jessica Patterson.

The Oligarchy of Controlled Failure is in complete control and there are no conservative straw men left (they ran them all out) to blame for what’s coming in 2020.

Jul 252019

Sometimes the silence of the leadership of the GOP is a good thing. It is not good as it relates to AD73, CA-50 or the impending shredding of the CAGOP Platform. However, on the flip side was a media hit piece featuring Mike Murphy written by the usually fair Joe Garofoli of the SF Chron. This smear job on Trump supporters was beneath Garofoli, but, however is par for the course for the nearly psychotic coven of liberal Republican Consultants that were rendered useless by the Trump Train.

They attempted to ensnare CAGOP Chair Jessica Patterson and she did not oblige.

It has to suck to be Mike Murphy. Meg Whitman spent $150MM under your watch and got hammered. But, hey you took home a couple million for your trouble, right? The $110 million spent by the Right to Rise PAC on behalf of Jeb Bush? Ouch, 4 delegates.

My experience with Mike Murphy has largely been negative. He is known to disdain conservatives – including his open hostility to his former client John McCain because he picked Sarah Palin as his running mate.

Since 2010’s colossal failure, the most noteworthy parts of Mike Murphy’s life have been attacking Republicans and being a talking head for the leftist media. People like Mike Murphy, Tony Quinn, Steve Schmidt, Mike Madrid and others willingly allow themselves to be used by people that want to destroy America because their egos crave the relevance they get from selling out to the enemy.

The SF Chron article was replete with regurgitated lies from Mike Murphy – but what else would you expect from a man who advised Governor Arnold to attack GOP LG Candidate Tom McClintock on the eve of the election when McClintock was up 3-5 points in polling? (McClintock lost by 4 in 2006) It is the opinion of this blogger and has been for the last 13 years that Murphy could not allow a known Conservative to win statewide in California lest the liberal Republican narrative get shattered about how you have to be a social liberal to be viable. Secondly, it is a not so well kept secret that Mr. Murphy allegedly had a win bonus based on percentage victory and he is alleged to have scorched the earth on more Republicans than just McClintock to get Arnold over 60% (which was allegedly worth tens of thousands more dollars in bonuses to Mr. Murphy). Murphy’s betrayals of Conservatives were talked about for several years after the 2006 elections.

It should also be noted that Luis Buhler and David Stafford Reade – both leading the effort to shred the current CAGOP Platform, worked with Mike Murphy on the Meg Whitman for Governor Campaign in 2010.

I believe that Mike Murphy attempted to leverage his past relationship with Jessica Patterson (particularly on the Whitman Campaign) in an attempt to box her in to get her to join in the chorus against President Trump.

Murphy, who worked with Patterson on Whitman’s losing 2010 gubernatorial campaign, remains a fan of hers. He said that despite her silence, “I’m sure she gets it.” But he doesn’t expect her to go public.

“If she started doing the right things — buck Trump, buck the hard dogma on immigration — she’d be fired,” Murphy said. “There’s not really a lot she can do here besides raise money and try to elect as few lunatics as possible to the safe districts that are left in California, then wait for the national brand to improve.

Note to Mr. Murphy – Jessica Patterson was elected Chair of the CAGOP with an outright majority over two funded opponents. Your claim she could get fired is an outright lie.

Right here you get to see that Mike Murphy is stuck in the 1990’s. He believes that defending Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib, Ayanna Pressley – all three confirmed jew-hating, white-hating racists was warranted. He is in good company as David Duke was singing Ilhan Omar’s praises too. Perhaps Mr. Murphy believes the black Americans at President Trump’s rally were “blackground”?

Quoting Mike Murphy, Mike Madrid, Tony Quinn, Steve Schmidt or their ilk about the GOP is like asking sex offenders about the age of consent or having an alcoholic taste-test beers. Outlets like the SF Chron can fulfill their inner desire to get a “republican” that will give them the sound-byte they want and the “republican” who whores themselves out to the enemy can get a soothing ointment for their personal butthurt.

Mike Murphy, like his ilk think Trump supporters are the “Dregs of Society”, (see also Joe Biden), “Committed Racists” (see also buttgeig) or people he wants to punch. (see also Cory Booker) You never see Murphy criticize these people because he has hitched his wagon to his torched ego from the humiliation of the 2016 campaign.

The SF Chron performed a journalistic abortion labeling Trump’s “Go Back Where You Came From” tweet as racist. People like Murphy and the SF Chron are stuck in a feedback loop. See the 81 Times the Media outright lied about President Trump here. Many of these lies are still cited as fact by people like Murphy and his buddies in the media. I suppose Mike Murphy would have been a Vietnam war protester had he been old enough in the 1960’s as people used to say “Love it or Leave it” as a retort to the war wimps then. People like Murphy and the SF Chron assail that as racist today – like damn near everything else.

“The problem of the California Republican Party has is that it is not in the California business, it is in the Republican business,” said Murphy, who is the co-host of the (a podcast) with David Axelrod, who was a top strategist for former President Barack Obama.

“The only politics they play in is Republican politics. And in that world, it’s the cult of Trump,” Murphy said. “Now, the Trump cult is a little overrated. But in politics, perception is reality. And so they all retreat into cowardly silence.”

So Mike Murphy called Jessica Patterson a coward and called President Trump’s supporters a cult. I guess my conclusions have a lot of merit. People like Murphy despise rank and file Republican voters for not following the script. As Murphy is intransigently stuck in the 1990’s how about some of his buddies in the media that ran polls for a reality check?

Gallup says Immigration is now the Number One Issue for the first time ever. Well, Mike – there goes that attack line. Speaking of your buddies in the media here is a colossal lie (#52 on the list of 81) for you Mr. Murphy:

52. June 21, 2018

Time magazine and others used a photo of a crying Honduran child to illustrate a supposed Trump administration policy separating illegal immigrant parents and children. The child’s father later reported that agents had never separated her from her mother; the mother had taken her to the US without his knowledge and separated herself from her other children, whom she left behind.
Mike Murphy has a lot of friends in the national media – so it also serves his ego and need to be relevant to continue to attack the GOP, including Jessica Patterson someone he used to consider a friend. I guess she became expendable.
Some people may remember when I used to type “Cult of Trump”. Unlike Mike Murphy – I chose to RESPECT the WILL of the GOP Electorate and I threw in with Trump when Dr. Ben Carson (newsflash Murphy, he’s black) endorsed Trump.
Just in case there was still lingering doubt about how out of touch and drunk on their psychosis Mike Murphy, Mike Madrid, Steve Schmidt, Tony Quinn and others are – take a look at this poll from the leftist NPR(!) Marist Poll:
On health care for illegals, 62 percent say it’s a bad idea, including 47 percent of moderate Democrats and 67 percent of independents. That’s a kryptonite issue. Sixty-seven percent are opposed to the Democratic plan to decriminalize illegal border crossings, with 47 percent of Democrats, 68 percent of Independents, and 63 percent of minatory voters opposing the left-wing push for open borders. Oh, and 37 percent of progressive Democrats, the Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez wing, also agree; decriminalizing border crossings is a trash idea.
Once again, Mike Murphy is as clueless as he was when he wasted over $250 Million on behalf of Meg Whitman and Jeb Bush on their way to a trainwreck.
But hey, I am sure (fill in the name of media here) will love quoting him!
Jul 242019

I have never been a fan of the Tea Party Express. It has always been my opinion that it is a scam and a handful of political consultants and minor Conservative Pundits have gotten rich off of it. Their most memorable political stunt was ginning up thousands of people to descend on Searchlight Nevada when Harry Reid was Senate Majority Leader.

From time to time there have been articles written about PACs and how they spend 90% or more of their funds on Salaries, etc. The Tea Party Express and Move America Forward PAC (pretty much the same group) are two such PACs that have been similarly assailed.

One of the reasons for my disdain of the Tea Party has been the existence of leeches like these and no willingness within the movement to police itself. (See also Antifa and others on the left that arose out of the netroots)

Any simple research will reveal that the Tea Party movement has splintered in to several pieces and a whole lot of people have gotten rich off of it.

It appears that the founders of the The Tea Party Express and Move America Forward PAC’s had a non-profit they were using as a front (my opinion) to make even more money off of “supporting the troops”. Because Xavier Becerra has presidential ambitions like Gavin Newsom – he is looking to make a name for himself. This is why he has been trying to prosecute David Dadelien or James O’Keefe. It makes sense why Xavier would go after MAF PAC.

That said, MAF PAC is a scam (my opinion) and Xavier is right to attack them. However, if Xavier prosecutes rather than sues MAF PAC, then almost every Soros-backed group would be vulnerable to prosecution too. It is the age old question about legally sanctioned unethical behavior.

The Sacramento Bee, being the reliable political harlots for the left broke the story – ostensibly after Xavier’s office made sure they had advanced notice. (This is standard practice for prosecutors)

California Attorney General Xavier Becerra filed a lawsuit on Wednesday against a Sacramento nonprofit that sends care packages to troops, alleging that the organization misled donors and its directors misused charity money for political purposes.

The lawsuit against Move America Forward alleges that the organization violated Internal Revenue Services regulations because its two directors, Sal Russo and Shawn Callahan, managed separate for-profit groups that “charged fees for services” provided to the nonprofit.

Becerra argues that the charity engaged in “deceitful solicitation gimmicks,” which he said included using photographs from other organizations, advertising a veteran’s story without his permission and plagiarizing information from other nonprofit campaigns.

For years – your intrepid blogger has railed on “Tea Party Leech PACS” that send out tons of spam emails or have people posting stuff on social media and/or sending spam texts trying to piggy back on campaigns. While I have no direct proof, it has been put to me several times that Mr. Russo and others have gotten rich off of the Tea Party Express PAC. It appears that similar to so many others living high on the hog in ethically questionable endeavors, they could not stop at just leeching off of the Tea Party. They appear to have created vendors in order to strip-mine even more money out of the Non Profit for themselves.

I’ve seen hundreds of fundraising emails including a US Senate Special election in New Jersey (hopeless for a Republican) which was Cory Booker’s original election. The Tea Party Express / Move America Forward PAC’s would endorse people and then fund raise off of these high-profile campaigns. Some Republican candidates have been quoted over the years expressing their irritation that these PAC’s were creating confusion and hindering their own fundraising!

I can’t wait to see what the legal discovery reveals related to the finances of Move America Forward. And, shame on them for making themselves an easy target for a piece of crap Attorney General looking for campaign material.

Russo, chief strategist for the nonprofit and a Sacramento County resident, allegedly diverted more than $1.8 million to his for-profit companies, according to the lawsuit. Callahan is the executive director. The suits also names Chairman Melanie Morgan and Director Howard Kaloogian as defendants.

Becerra’s office is alleging that the nonprofit also provided free office space for two political action committees called Move America Forward PAC and the Tea Party Express. The suit also claims charity assets were used to support candidates endorsed by the committees.

According to its website, Move America Forward has sent more than 388 tons of packages to troops “directly from American citizens affirming their support and providing some comforts from home.”

I met Howard Kaloogian in 2004. I’ve met Melanie Morgan a couple times, and she did not have time for me or others in the room. She also reminded me of Karen England. (someone whose scams I have written about for years – including diverting a ton of money from the Prop 8 effort) Kaloogian was an also-ran candidate for US Senate and by virtue of my firsthand experience with him, I believe he is a playboy. (Yet another “conservative” who likes to get wasted at CAGOP Conventions and chase girls. And I saw this first hand)

A former Radio Talk Show Host Eric Hogue used to rail on Move America Forward / the Tea Party Express as a rival Talk Show DJ was in on the early days of it. your intrepid blogger has never stopped monitoring their activities even as both of these guys have moved on.

It is the opinion of this blogger that Melanie Morgan, Howard Kaloogian, Sal Russo and others that have been on the take from this Charity and the two PAC’s had better get good attorneys. I’ve maintained that this operation has been dirty from the beginning and how sad it is that Xavier Becerra gets to ride in to clean it up (while ignoring rampant corruption all over California’s Democrat Run Municipalities).

It is truly a case of mixed emotions for me as it has taken 15 years to see any level of accountability for what these people have done, and it comes in the form of Xavier Becerra trying to create a campaign platform for himself.