2017 Retrospective Part 2, You Want to Clip an Incumbent? Be Ready to Lose.

 2018 Elections  No Responses »
Dec 302017
 

I tried it. I worked for an extremely viable challenger. He is the author of Prop 8. He had access to money that the establishment could not choke off. His opponent was unable to finish a sentence on the floor of the Assembly and had few, if any loyalties or true connections within the district. It was a perfect storm.

It took the establishment about $2 Million to save Beth Gaines. They also made sure that I and everyone else that helped Andy Pugno (the candidate) got retaliated against.

Primary challenging and actually defeating an incumbent is extremely difficult. A famous example is the idiot known as Joe Miller who beat incumbent liberal Republican Lisa Murkowski in the Alaska Primary only to lose when she re-emerged as a write-in candidate (apparently AK election law allows that) in the fall. Tea Party Joe is relegated to the dust heap of history. Another great example is the fraud known as Kelli Ward who got crushed by John McCain in Arizona. John McCain? That’s right, Chad Mayes on steroids, nuked an opponent with national support. (Please note that Steve Bannon is reputed to have disassociated himself with Ward)

Chad Mayes has a ton of money. I think he has something like $500k that he will show at the end of the year, maybe a bit more. $500k is enough to run two assembly campaigns. With the grassroots ranks being decimated and few people being willing to get off of facebook and out on the street, Mayes has a massive advantage. Also remember that the establishment will support the most ethically and morally flawed people in office as incumbency is king.

Mayes has two known opponents. One, Gary Jeandron, has indeed run twice before and lost. It appears that he is trying to do new things to be viable. Jeandron has a superior resume to the other opponent Andrew Kotyuk. Mr. Kotyuk has endorsements, momentum and a few dollars to work with. I am told, however that Kotyuk is an opposition research bonanza. Remember, Joe Justin is Mayes campaign boss and Mr. Justin is a gifted operative who is lethal. Any opponent to Mayes had better be top shelf and extremely disciplined and well managed.

Marc Steinorth? He is rumored to be polling for San Bernardino Supervisor. He is as tough as a junkyard dog. Given that the sex scandal (in terms of people being victimized against their will) culture has metastasized as it has, I just don’t see a consensual affair between two adults mattering to voters. (this comment applies to Mayes as well) It is my opinion that Steinorth will win whatever he runs for as he will be funded and his “brass balls”, despite how wrong he may be on some issues, represents leadership. Compare this to so many in the GOP Caucus and it stands out. Marc’s leadership ability alone makes a compelling case to support him despite any other misgivings.

Devon Mathis? He is the one incumbent who could lose. The sex assault charge is hanging over him and his team has done little or nothing to get him out from under it. Until then, he will have a hard time raising any support. Once that is cleared up, he will get fully funded, This will be especially by the Agricultural interests that got him to vote for Cap and Trade. It is my opinion that Mathis is guilty of bad judgement, but not guilty of sexual misconduct. Mathis is also guilty of not doing many of the basics that a member of the state legislature should do in order to govern, this is the reason he is vulnerable. If the money people decide to cut bait and choose for fund the Mayor of Visalia, Warren Gubler instead, then the decisions that were made by Mathis’ advisors in terms of their crisis management will become the #1 reason for his demise. It is extremely rare for the establishment to de-fund an incumbent.

Dante Acosta? At this time, I am of the opinion that he will be safely re-elected. I simply do not see anything serious enough against him to provide anything more than ammo for the left wing fringe. This can change, but my gut says Acosta is guilty of nothing more than some bad judgement.

It is my opinion and I have nothing to prove this other than my gut that Devon Mathis and Dante Acosta are sitting on information and are waiting for the correct time to deploy it thus eviscerating their accusers.

All of this said, there is one Republican member sitting in a safe seat doing nothing (and I am not referring to Matthew Harper who raises no money at all in the wealthiest district in California, that is a different kind of doing nothing), that is on the “sex” list along with 4-6 democrats. There are lobbyists and staffers who are going to be exposed. I believe some of the staff that are on the “sex” list may be the source of some of the un-vetted attacks against one of the aforementioned GOP members.

I am not sure if the CA GOP is going to be able to muster candidates to contend for any of the winnable Assembly Districts. The CA GOP is poised to lose SD12 as there is no longer an Anthony Cannella in that district, so even if there is a gain elsewhere, it is status quo. It is sad, too. So many Democrats have been burnt by their sexual deviance that they lost their supermajority. This, of all things is an unprecedented opportunity.

Beyond the drill myself and others ran, there was no end game after taking out Chad Mayes as Assembly GOP Leader. It was a reaction to what he did and how it decimated my efforts to build the CIR from the resulting disillusionment in the GOP.

The proof of many of my judgement and commentaries about the state of the CAGOP will manifest when every vote for Cap and Trade returns to office. (Except Tom Berryhill, the safe district Senator who betrayed his conservative district while on his way out the door via term limits)

This will be continued as events warrant as this drama is far from over.

2017 Retrospective So, You Want to Be A Blogger, You Want to Torch the “Establishment”? Be Ready to Pay the Price

 2018 Elections  No Responses »
Dec 292017
 

I started blogging in 2003. I was in a group that included an Unknown by the name of Katy Grimes, another relatively unknown Craig DeLuz and a young man named Andy Nevis. (who was active in the CR’s until a few years ago) The Rest of the group, known as the Western Alliance of Bloggers scattered.

I remember the days when legislative candidates could get dozens of volunteers in to a headquarters to walk precincts. That was my paradigm. In 2003, blogs were seldom and rare. The bathroom boys of Facebook and Twitter were changing the tape in their glasses in between getting beat up by the jocks in high school.

Years later, Facebook and Twitter changed the dynamics of grassroots. They literally created bloggers like locusts. They literally took people out of the campaign headquarters and back in to their living rooms. I’ve watched it all, and I watched it all play out again in 2017. The state of Grassroots activism in California is a tattered shambles of GOP organizations that are fractured with dwindling memberships and waning influence. Many people believe they can win elections with Facebook posts, I am seeing the insanity repeat itself in the form of a governor campaign almost 100% dependent on Facebook.

I haven’t changed a whole lot since the days when I was nuking Doug Ose, Doug LaMalfa or other RINO squishes on various blogs I wrote for. I still walk precincts, but rarely had company at the front door in 2016 as opposed to 2008 when dozens of people hit the streets for Tom McClintock over Doug Ose.

You can make bank that those in leadership of BOTH parties have seen this. Outside of a core of fringe, marginal operators, few people leave their computer to do anything.

This is what made my combined effort with Joseph Turner to take down Chad Mayes over the Cap and Trade fiasco even more amazing. We caught lightening in a bottle and had several key establishment figures that aligned with us at that point in time. Having influenced the outcomes of campaigns many times with my Blog no one admits to reading, this was familiar territory.

I also remember what I was like 10 years ago. I’ve honestly written about all of the enemies I made with my bombast in years past. I watched it happen again, except this time is has been guilt by association. A lot of people ask me about Mr. Turner. I won’t disavow my friendship with him as it is not my style to discard political allies without cause.

I learned after getting several political bloody noses that you do not attack spouses. In my political life, someone contacted my wife’s boss trying to get her fired to get to me. In the AD73 Race in 2014, a Guy named Art Sanchez wrote a nasty blog attacking my wife because he was enraged over the opposition research file I unloaded on Ana Bryson. My Brother George was accused of felony money laundering by Doug LaMalfa in print on the front page of the Sacramento Bee largely as retaliation over my annihilation of him in his 2012 State Senate victory over Rick Keene.

One time I called a Congressional Candidate’s (Rick Tubbs) wife Tammy Faye Tubbs. I did end up apologizing directly to her (and her husband) because that was uncalled for. Amazingly, after that apology, I was able to connect with some of Tubbs’ supporters who I consider friends today.

I also learned that with the exception of proof of a cover up or a direct link to the candidate/officeholder themselves, you leave out staff. I lit up Steve Davey and Dave Titus as I am 100% aware their ghastly patterns are known to their current / former bosses, the Gaines. (who enabled it and/or were willfully ignorant of it) It became a valid attack because Steve Davey being allowed to quit by the Assembly Rules Committee (which is in and of itself a cover up) before they fired him begs the question of why the allegedly Christian Conservative Ted Gaines put up with his behavior.

However, I’ve never talked about the police records of staff and usually prefer to say “The legislator was having an affair / inappropriate with a member of his staff” rather than launching an expose’ on the staffer by name. When staff get brought in, it creates victims and gives your target sympathy. It also turns some very valid information ineffective. It also creates a lot of enemies.

In this Chad Mayes saga, I have made new enemies. Some I earned by my own actions and some through the actions of my fellow combatants. I am at peace with it, and those among us that want to be bloggers had better make peace with the fact that people you’ve never met will hate you often times for things you did not do. This is similar to being in office, without the office. You had best be loyal to your friends, because when you become radioactive in a political fight, you won’t have many of them.

So you want to attack the establishment? So you want to take out an incumbent? You had best be ready for retaliation. You had best be ready to be marginalized.

When you line up a target, you’d better have an end game. Are you getting paid like I sometimes am? Are you preparing a viable campaign to run for something? Do you have a stake in the election or cause you are trying to affect? Do you have a plan to take that target out? Most of the time I can answer yes to 2 or more of those questions. I will submit that most that are out chucking keyboard bombs can’t honestly answer yes to any of those questions. As such, they create wounded bears and the only loser is them.

Most will say, “I don’t care what THEY think”. They may not admit it, but they do care what people think of them after all. People don’t get involved in politics in a vacuum. As long as this dynamic exists, the conservative resistance to “the establishment” will get rolled repeatedly. People’s opinions and positions matter, ignore them, discount them and they will beat you.

Even in this effort, several self-styled conservative activists called me a RINO, etc. etc. etc. because I was defending people I knew. The insults and accusations because I defended some staffers I am friends with underscore the terrible state of the Grassroots in California. As their numbers shrink, they are lashing out at natural allies and are still being led by charlatans that want to use them.

Let me summarize, we “got” Chad Mayes. For reasons I will lay out in a follow up this post, I will provide analysis of the current sagas surrounding several GOP incumbents and demonstrate that pretty much all of the GOP incumbents will be re-elected. (were the elections held today)

Stan Sniff Update: Who is the Mystery Groupie and Why is the Sheriff so Cozy With Her?

 2018 Elections, Stan Sniff  3 Responses »
Dec 272017
 

Sheriff Sniff has a lot of photos out in the public domain, however, several should make you stop and take pause.

This photo is a Stan Sniff and his wife. Take note of the distance between them. This is apparently a pattern.

Next up: Stan Sniff’s mystery “fan”.

Decide for yourself what you see in the photos. Also take note to click on the photos and look at the comments leading in to them. Are these the sorts of comments you see from “normal” citizens you have a “professional” relationship with?

In this era of #METOO and a ton of politicians getting lit up for all sorts of misdeeds, this sort of stuff can and will become a campaign issue.

Anyone with any information on the Sheriff and his habits along these lines is encouraged to reach out to this blog. We are looking for evidence and proof of anything beyond this circumstantial evidence of misconduct by the Sheriff.  You can remain anonymous.

Sheriff Sniff has a myriad of issues, not the least of which is his failure to plan or try to accommodate the budget reality of Riverside County. It is our opinion that he should be focused on how he is going to staff the jail and improve police service and at the very least. You would also think that a man in his position would be quite a bit more cautious and judicious about his public conduct, which is why we are asking the questions we are. Were Sniff doing his job, he would not be the subject of a RightonDaily documentary.

Our expose on Sheriff Sniff will continue.

Stan Sniff Update: I will leave the new Jail Empty

 2018 Elections, Stan Sniff  No Responses »
Dec 222017
 

Just a couple days ago, a new story about an old issue. Sheriff Sniff once again reminds us that he has been incapable of solving problems and is fully capable of blaming others.

When you read the article you will realize that the Sheriff drug his heels on interviewing applicants and training them. Cash-Strapped Riverside County laid out a ton of money to expand the Indio Jail and now it will be sitting partly vacant.

With Violent Crime spiking in Riverside County, what does the Sheriff base his re-election campaign on?

The jail is being counted on to add capacity to the county’s overcrowded five-jail system. To free up space, the county is expected to release almost 6,000 inmates early this year to comply with a federal court order to relieve overcrowding, according to sheriff’s officials. That problem will worsen, Sniff said, when the existing Indio jail is demolished and the new one stays vacant.

6,000 criminals being put back on the ground early is a direct consequence of Stan Sniff refusing to plan or be flexible to deal with the budget problems he knew he had. The County hired a respected national accounting firm to try and free up funds to take care of vital services and the Sheriff is fighting all of their recommendations:

Many of KPMG’s recommendations deal with public safety, which consumes three of every four discretionary dollars, according to the executive office. The firm has said Sniff can become more efficient by changing deputies’ schedules and using non-sworn staff to handle minor, non-emergency calls.

So – the Sheriff does not want to use auxiliary or volunteer deputies to handle minor calls, choosing instead to use the much more expensive sworn deputies on such calls. This compounds the problem with staffing the new jail. It does not stop there (Quoting Supervisor Kevin Jeffries):

Sniff “needs to stay vigilant,” Jeffries said. “But he also needs to look internally and start moving sworn deputies out of administrative desk jobs and back into the field.”

“With our budget projections, he has to meet us halfway. We need the new jail opened and staffed. We need more deputies on patrol,” the supervisor added.

“Just like the Board of Supervisors, the sheriff is also at a crossroads. We either all find new ways to cut costs while still providing essential services or we all go bankrupt arguing about whose fault it is.”

It is clear that Sheriff Stan Sniff has a serious credibility issue as people normally friendly to him are calling him out. AS you have learned by reading the expose’ on this blog about the Sheriff, he has refused to demonstrate leadership, flexibility or vision. The consequences are 6,000 inmates being released while the brand new jail sits empty. This, alone would be enough of a case to fire Sheriff Sniff.

Introducing Sal Rodriguez, Stan Sniff’s Favorite Social Justice Warrior and Criminal’s “Rights” Advocate

 2018 Elections, Stan Sniff  1 Response »
Dec 202017
 

Sal Rodriguez is a “reporter” for the Riverside Press-Enterprise. He decided recently to weigh in on the internal workings of the Riverside Sheriff’s Association.

Rodriguez has the pedigree you would expect from such a person. He has made a “career” out of advocating for lighter sentences, early releases and of course for directing funds in to felons and not law enforcement.

Given Sheriff Sniff’s affinity for laying off prison guards, cutting police budgets, early release of felons, refusing to cooperate with ICE, siding with the ACLU over police and the resulting increase in violent crime in Riverside County – it makes sense why Sal Rodriguez would see the need to defend the Sheriff.

It is also clear that the Sheriff has people selectively leaking to Mr. Rodriguez similar to the people on Robert Mueller’s Lynch mob doing the same to the national media. This leads me to believe that the criticism leveled on this blog (and in other mediums) of the Sheriff’s failures of leadership is having an effect.

So just who is Sal Rodriguez, really? Beyond his affiliations with far-left groups, that is…

A good place to look as at Rodriguez’ history as a “comedian” in college. We are talking 5 years ago, so it is not like dredging up women telling 38-40 year old stories you have no way of proving or otherwise.

He referred to one person, whose racial background was not clear from the video, as a “sand ni–er.” When another spectator was talking in the front row, he criticized them, calling talking at shows “the negro way.”
He also gave the audience a good deal of provocation. “You should be f—ing outraged, and you’re f—ing sitting here like a bunch of little b–ches, and then after the show you f—ing b–ch to Sean about it,” he said, as he criticized the crowd for a passive reaction to his antagonization. Later, he was quiet for a long stretch, then suddenly shouted, “You f—ing just sit there like a bunch of b—hes, what the f–k is wrong with you?”

So, this is who wrote the hit piece on the Riverside Sheriff’s Association and withheld documentation refuting all of the claims made in the story. It makes better sense. The foul-mouth racist rants borne out of deep personal issues appear to be fueling his day-to-day life.

I fear that the Riverside Press-Enterprise has some very low standards for hiring “reporters’. In my home area, we have some folks lobbing bombs and making moral judgments that are convicted felons, so nothing surprises me when I investigate the background of a reporter.

Sniff has a bigger problem now that Sal Rodriguez is out of the closet on his behalf, he now owns Sal Rodriguez’ personal history.

Rodriguez has written several public articles for the Reason Foundation – a libertarian anarchist group obsessed with eliminating criminal penalties. It is also funded by an interesting coalition of society-destroying left-wing donors (and others) who believe in the rights of criminals before anyone else. Read some of them here and here.

Secondly, beyond the intellectually vacuous defense of prison hunger strikes and bashing three strikes are the articles that this guy has written in the Press-Enterprise:

No time to throw more money at Prison Guards – apparently, the Sheriff took our young SJW’s advice on this one.

Sentencing Reform Overdue in California (See also deleting Three Strikes) – a leftist diatribe about how career criminals should be given leniency just because the crime they were caught and convicted of was “minor”.

I can’t wait to see more “journalism” from the 20-something Rodriguez who has convinced himself that Riverside County is going to be his forum for Social Justice. Perhaps inside of the left-wing media bubble that believes kneeling for the national anthem is as patriotic as serving in the military, these sorts of screeds seem like good journalism. It looks like the typical cop-bashing we became accustomed to in the last 4 years of the Obama administration.

Those of us that have lived real lives know you never achieve Social Justice based on a lie. Sal Rodriguez has no life experience, yet is making heavy social commentaries whose ultimate end will be more rape, robbery, violence and drug trafficking.

Sal Rodriguez is going to be a major embarrassment for the Sheriff and already is for the Riverside Press-Enterprise.

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